Marquette
W-L: ( 9- 7) PR = 86.0008Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Eastern Michigan MAC (10- 7, 79.5) 20- 9 208 H Cincinnati Big 12 ( 9- 8, 83.0) 17-10 213 H Central Michigan MAC ( 4-12, 74.4) 19- 6 220 A Northwestern Big Ten (19- 3, 96.9) 7-25 224 A Arizona State Big 12 ( 8-10, 86.9) 16-19 301 A Jacksonville Atlantic Su (13- 6, 89.0) 13-15 306 A Youngstown State MAC ( 3-13, 72.3) 19- 9 314 A Niagara Metro Atlan ( 8- 9, 78.4) 6- 5 321 H Georgetown Big East (12- 6, 90.0) 10-11 323 H UC Davis Big 12 ( 7- 9, 84.5) 13-12 328 A Xavier Big East ( 2-14, 77.0) 10- 7 401 A Denver Big East (16- 4, 93.8) 9-15 404 H Villanova Big East ( 9- 6, 86.5) 16- 9 418 H Butler Big East ( 3-13, 74.1) 20- 6 425 A Connecticut Big East ( 7-10, 85.3) 10-12 430 A Denver Big East (16- 4, 93.8) 6-17
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Eastern Michigan 20- 9 11 8 + 3.14
208 H Cincinnati 17-10 7 4 + 2.60
213 H Central Michigan 19- 6 13 13 0.03
220 A Northwestern 7-25 -18 -12 -1.72
224 A Arizona State 16-19 -3 -2 -0.68
301 A Jacksonville 13-15 -2 -4 + 2.40
306 A Youngstown State 19- 9 10 12 - -2.35
314 A Niagara 6- 5 1 6 -- -5.28
321 H Georgetown 10-11 -1 -3 1.59
323 H UC Davis 13-12 1 3 -1.85
328 A Xavier 10- 7 3 8 -- -4.65
401 A Denver 9-15 -6 -9 + 3.15
404 H Villanova 16- 9 7 1 +++ 6.11
418 H Butler 20- 6 14 13 0.69
425 A Connecticut 10-12 -2 -1 -1.32
430 A Denver 6-17 -11 -9 -1.85
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 A Niagara 6- 5 1 6 -- -5.28 328 A Xavier 10- 7 3 8 -- -4.65 306 A Youngstown State 19- 9 10 12 - -2.35 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 H Villanova 16- 9 7 1 +++ 6.11 206 H Eastern Michigan 20- 9 11 8 + 3.14 208 H Cincinnati 17-10 7 4 + 2.60 301 A Jacksonville 13-15 -2 -4 + 2.40 401 A Denver 9-15 -6 -9 + 3.15 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Eastern Michig (10- 7, 79.5) 20- 9 -20.39 19.78 -1.37 1.08 39.87
3 H Cincinnati ( 9- 8, 83.0) 17-10 -16.93 23.23 -1.37 1.08 47.35
3 H Central Michig ( 4-12, 74.4) 19- 6 -25.50 14.67 -1.37 1.08 28.80
3 A Northwestern (19- 3, 96.9) 7-25 -2.98 37.18 1.37 1.08 -0.88
3 A Arizona State ( 8-10, 86.9) 16-19 -12.95 27.22 1.37 1.08 -6.27
3 A Jacksonville (13- 6, 89.0) 13-15 -10.86 29.30 1.37 1.08 -5.14
3 A Youngstown Sta ( 3-13, 72.3) 19- 9 -27.62 12.55 1.37 1.08 30.14
3 A Niagara ( 8- 9, 78.4) 6- 5 -21.55 18.62 1.37 1.08 43.28
3 H Georgetown (12- 6, 90.0) 10-11 -9.94 30.23 -1.37 1.08 -6.12
3 H UC Davis ( 7- 9, 84.5) 13-12 -15.38 24.79 -1.37 1.08 50.72
3 A Xavier ( 2-14, 77.0) 10- 7 -22.92 17.25 1.37 1.08 40.31
3 A Denver (16- 4, 93.8) 9-15 -6.12 34.05 1.37 1.08 -2.57
3 H Villanova ( 9- 6, 86.5) 16- 9 -13.43 26.74 -1.37 1.08 54.94
3 H Butler ( 3-13, 74.1) 20- 6 -25.84 14.33 -1.37 1.08 28.07
3 A Connecticut ( 7-10, 85.3) 10-12 -14.59 25.58 1.37 1.08 -7.16
3 A Denver (16- 4, 93.8) 6-17 -6.12 34.05 1.37 1.08 -2.57
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332.76
|
winning pts = 363.4651 losing points = -30.7098
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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